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Dissertations |
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1
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SARA MARIA MARQUES
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APPLICATION OF GENETIC ALGORITHMS IN OPERATION OF WATER DISTRIBUTION NETWORKS WITH THE USE OF R and EPANET SOFTWARE FOR THE CONTROL OF WATER LOSSES - STUDY IN A NETWORK THEORETICAL
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Advisor : FERNANDO DAS GRACAS BRAGA DA SILVA
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COMMITTEE MEMBERS :
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FERNANDO DAS GRACAS BRAGA DA SILVA
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IVAN FELIPE SILVA DOS SANTOS
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JOSE ANTONIO TOSTA DOS REIS
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Data: Feb 15, 2023
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Show Abstract
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The disorderly use of water resources leads them to depletion, resulting in the emergence of environmental and social issues. Thus, a relevant aspect to be observed in water supply systems are the losses that occur throughout the operating process of the system. However, the largest water losses are in the distribution networks, which lead water to homes, businesses and industries. This fact causes financial losses and mainly natural losses. The concern that the theme brings is relevant to the use of measures that allow its reduction. For this, the use of computer simulations of networks is intended to study their behavior, especially to identify areas prone to water loss. Thus, it was developed, in the present study, methodology of operation of water distribution network, using two methods: genetic algorithms and random search, aiming at the optimization of the system through the optimization of network pressures and thus the reduction of losses. The parameters of the theoretical study network were changed, such as: reservoir level, roughness, diameter, demand, pumps and pressure reducing valves simultaneously, using the tools R and EPANET. The loss reduction found with the simulation using the Genetic Algorithm was 15.75%. In the random simulation, the loss reduction found was 9.79%. In addition, the values of pressures found in the optimal generation, presented by the genetic algorithm, were much better than that of the random, because the high pressures that the network presented before the simulation were below 50 m.c.a. Thus, the simulation of the study network on the use of the genetic algorithm method was much better, with optimized loss and pressure values.
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2
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MATEUS CORTEZ MARCONDES
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Calibration Studies of a Real Water Distribution Network Using Artificial Neural Networks for Control Water Losses
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Advisor : FERNANDO DAS GRACAS BRAGA DA SILVA
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COMMITTEE MEMBERS :
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ANA PAULA MONI SILVA
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EUDES JOSÉ ARANTES
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FERNANDO DAS GRACAS BRAGA DA SILVA
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Data: Feb 16, 2023
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Show Abstract
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Water supply comprises one of the aspects of basic sanitation where the fundamental rights of every citizen must be guaranteed by virtue of the laws that govern its guidelines. The public power, at the municipal level, is one of the main responsible for the management and operation of water supply systems, managing the infrastructure and facilities in all processes to ensure the full operation to fulfill the obligations surrounding the supply of resources. Considering the theme of water losses, network simulation approaches allow adjustments and propositions of improvements that ensure efficient water supply, however due to the uncertainties regarding input parameters for realistic predictions the calibration step is necessary. This paper aims to apply a calibration methodology with artificial neural networks for use in water distribution networks. The methodology consists in the use of artificial neural networks to make the calibration from input data in the real network, with the use of Python as the programming environment used. The results show that these tools prove to be promising for analyzing this type of problem, considering the complexity of the hydraulic analysis in the face of different scenarios and the large amount of information generated. The calibrations show that the use of Artificial Neural Networks achieves good levels of calibration amid the scarcity of information in real networks and achieves better results compared to other calibration methods such as the random iterative search method. Thus the continuity of this research can strengthen better calibrations targeting real systems and the control of losses in their water distribution systems. New studies and technologies can contribute to the reduction of losses and consequently the saving of water, a resource that is scarce and crucial for society.
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3
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JOÃO GABRIEL MARTINS RIBEIRO
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Characterization of Electrical Storms in the Southeast Region of Brazil
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Advisor : ENRIQUE VIEIRA MATTOS
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COMMITTEE MEMBERS :
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ENRIQUE VIEIRA MATTOS
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MICHELLE SIMOES REBOITA
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WEBER ANDRADE GONÇALVES
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Data: Feb 16, 2023
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Show Abstract
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Annually, storms that occur in the Southeast of Brazil generate several disturbances to society. The Mesoscale Convective Systems (MCS) generate material losses and human lives, through the production of flooding, falling trees, hail and lightning. The spatial distribution of lightning and the properties of these storms vary greatly within this region. However, there is still a lack in the literature on the behavior of intracloud lightning and its relationship with the properties of storms. Thus, the present work aims to characterize the occurrences of lightning between 2015 and 2021 and to evaluate the physical and electrical differences in the MCS with and without lightning between 2015 and 2017 in the Southeast region of Brazil. For this, information from the meteorological satellite Geostationary Operational Environmental Satellite (GOES-13) was used, with lightning information from the Earth Network's Total Lightning Network (ENTLN). The identification and tracking of MCS was carried out using the algorithm Forecast and Tracking the Evolution of Cloud Clusters (ForTraCC). The first stage of the work consisted in evaluating the space-time distribution of lightning. Maximum of lightning occur near the mountainous regions of São Paulo, Minas Gerais and Rio de Janeiro (IC: 80 occurrences year-1 km-2 and -CG: 18 year-1 km-2), concentrated from the period of afternoon (12:00 local time), with a maximum at 16:00 local time (47,000, 2,300 and 73 occurrences of IC, -CG and +CG), and mainly in the spring and summer (maximum values of 4011, 1025 and 35 flashes IC, -CG and +CG). The current peak shows maximums in spring and autumn (~40 kA for the +CG) and a lower amount in the winter period (~20 kA for the -CG). In the second stage, the physical and electrical differences between the MCS with and without lightning were evaluated. The main physical and electrical differences between these groups show that the MCS without lightning has a smaller area (difference of 1920 km2), duration (between 30 and 60 min), expansion rate (40 x 10-6 s-1) and higher temperatures (11.5 K difference) than MCS with lightning. The life cycle behavior of lightning shows higher occurrences moments before maturation (maximum of IC: 116, -CG: 21 and +CG: 0.75 occurrences 30 min-1). These analyses are important to improve the predictability of these storms and consequently the decision-making, providing the minimization of damages linked to the harmful effects of these storms.
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4
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FLÁVIA FERNANDA AZEVEDO FAGUNDES
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Cardinal temperatures and modeling of the initial development of two forest species under current and future climate.
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Advisor : FABRINA BOLZAN MARTINS
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COMMITTEE MEMBERS :
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FABRINA BOLZAN MARTINS
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GIANCARLO AQUILA
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ROGER RODRIGUES TORRES
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Data: Feb 16, 2023
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Show Abstract
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Increases in air temperature projected throughout the 21st century may impact the initial development dynamics of forest species, especially those located in persistent climate change hotspots. To deal with such threats, it is essential to know the thermal thresholds, evaluate development in current climate conditions and identify the climate change impacts, as well as assess the financial viability for seedling production in future climate conditions. This dissertation aims to: i) estimate the cardinal temperatures and the thermal requirements for the initial development of two native Brazilian forest species - Cybistax antisyphilitica (Mart.) Mart. and Platycyamus regnellii Benth - using data from multiple sowing dates, ii) calibrate and evaluate the performance of both developmental models – Philochron (Phyl) and Wang and Engel (WE) - in estimating the initial development dynamics of both species, and , iii) identify the possible impacts of projected increases in air temperature on the seedling phase duration, and financial viability for the production of seedlings of the two forest species in a forest nursery. To achieve i and ii aims, phenological data from experiments conducted over twelve sowing dates during the years 2017 and 2018 in Itajubá, Minas Gerais were used. The three cardinal temperatures were estimated using appropriate statistical methods. The two development models – Phyl and WE – were calibrated and evaluated for experimental conditions. Regarding iii aim, data from 13 Earth System Models (ESM) from the NASA Earth Exchange Global Daily Downscaled Projections (NEX-GDDP), i.e., the new generation from the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 (CMIP6) were used. The development model (Phyl or WE) that presented the best performance for the experimental conditions was fed with the ESMs outputs simulated for the current climate (CC, 1995-2014), and projected for the near future (NF, 2041-2060) and far future (FF, 2081-2100) in two radiative forcing scenarios (SSP2-4.5 and SSP5-8.5). In addition, the financial viability of producing seedlings of both species was analyzed using the net present value for CC, NF and FF. C. antisyphilitica develops properly between temperatures of 13 °C, 20 °C and 48.4 °C and P. regnellii between 13.7 °C, 21.5 °C and 43.4 °C. For C. antisyphilitica, the Phyl and WE models were remarkably similar in estimating the cumulative leaf number (CLN), and seedling phase duration (SPD), with an error of ~3.3 leaves and 25 days, respectively. On the other hand, the WE model was slightly superior for P. regnellii, with an error of less than 2.06 leaves (CLN) and 13.1 days (SPD). The projected increases in air temperature between ~ 1.1 °C and ~ 4 °C for Itajubá should not make the SPD of the two forest species unfeasible. However, they could generate financial losses in forest nurseries due adaptation measures. Simulated sowing dates between January and June may have SPD reductions for both forest species (up to 36 days). On the contrary, the simulated sowing dates from July to December may have small SPD increases (between 1 and 10 days). It will be necessary to adopt adaptive measures to maintain the seedlings quality and vigorin NF and FF, which will generate increases in seedling production costs from approximately 9% to 137%. More significant increases in costs will occur from August to November, exactly when the SPD increases are projected.
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5
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IVANA RIÊRA PEREIRA BASTOS
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Estimation of the distribution of Ultraviolet Radiation in different parts of the body
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Advisor : MARCELO DE PAULA CORREA
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COMMITTEE MEMBERS :
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ALEXANDRE LIMA CORREIA
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ENRIQUE VIEIRA MATTOS
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MARCELO DE PAULA CORREA
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Data: Feb 17, 2023
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Show Abstract
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Ultraviolet Radiation (UVR) is responsible for several physical, chemical and biological processes, both on the surface and in the Earth's atmosphere. In humans, UVR can cause benefits, such as vitamin D synthesis, and harm, such as burns, premature aging and skin cancer. In general, instruments and radiative transfer models are used to measure or estimate the incidence of UVR, but they take into account that the radiation is reaching a horizontal surface. For this reason, they do not reliably represent the accumulated dose of UVR in different parts of the human body, called erythemic dose (D-UVE). After all, the parts of our body are inclined in relation to the Sun, making it necessary to represent the incident UVR through a threedimensional geometric model (MGe). Therefore, this study has the general objective of analyzing the variation in the incidence of UVR in different parts of the body considering different geographic and atmospheric characteristics, the time of exposure and the individual's position in relation to the Sun. For this, an experiment was installed, under a completely randomized experimental design, aiming to evaluate the D-UVE incident on the different parts of the body of a mannequin. The results indicated a significant interaction (p ≤ 0.05) between the D-UVE, the orientation on the dummy and the positions of the sensors on the human body. Even in the winter months, when the availability of solar radiation is lower, D-UVE can be enough to cause erythema even in less sensitive skin, regardless of the individual's orientation. In parallel, a MGe, developed in Python, was adapted to estimate the UVR on inclined surfaces, taking into account input conditions adapted to geographic and temporal variations of any location on the planet. In the first hours of the day, the D-UVE was more intense in the east orientation, in which the Sun is rising and positioning itself in relation to the horizon. Considering an hour of exposure around noon, the values observed with the face facing south are significantly higher than those observed in relation to the north, considering the position of the Sun at this time. Also, radiation fluxes on inclined surfaces at the angle of inclination of the surface relative to the horizontal plane at β = 30° are higher than on vertical surfaces, since, at β = 90°, the direct component tends to zero, therefore, prevailing only the diffuse component. As for the full-day exposure, it was observed that, even in winter, there are risks of damage to health for individuals of all phototypes. From this research, it will be possible to simulate DUVE values on inclined surfaces for locations anywhere on the planet, with emphasis on South Hemisphere, which had not yet been the subject of research in works under these conditions. For future works, it is suggested to improve the entire methodology of the Adapted Geometric Model (MGeA), in order to analyze and compile the semi-empirical equations and specific treatments, to avoid generalist results.
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6
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PEDRO DE OLIVEIRA MOURA BUCKER
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Capability for Use and Occupation of Urban Lands Itajubá (MG)
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Advisor : NIVEA ADRIANA DIAS PONS
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COMMITTEE MEMBERS :
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ANA LUCIA FONSECA
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MARX LEANDRO NAVES SILVA
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NIVEA ADRIANA DIAS PONS
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SAMARA CALCADO DE AZEVEDO
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Data: Feb 17, 2023
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Show Abstract
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The processes of expansion and urban development of cities are continuous and intrinsic to human nature, transforming not only landscapes and the dynamics of the physical environment, but directly affecting urban soils. When these changes brought about in favor of development are not linked to sustainable growth and a correct assessment of the capability to use and occupy urban land, a series of problems are caused that contribute both to the increase in the processes of degradation of the urban environment and to the reduction of the quality of life of the population, causing numerous social conflicts. In this sense, the present work aims to identify the capability to use and occupy urban land, in Itajubá (MG), where the characteristics of the factors of the physical environment are considered. For this, geoprocessing techniques were used, aiming to unite the factors that best represent the three-dimensional space of interest, resulting in a map that expresses the real capability for use and occupation of urban land in Itajubá. As a result, the classes of aptitude for urban constructions (24.9km²), aptitude for urban constructions and urban agriculture (6.0 km²), aptitude for environmental preservation (12.33km²) and aptitude for waste disposal (0.0km). Subsequently, they were analyzed together with the capability for use and occupation of urban land, the use and occupation of land in the area of interest, identifying the regions that have degradation processes. This analysis made it possible to verify the conflicts of use of existing urban lands in relation to the map of capability for use and occupation of urban lands to the municipal urban zoning. The municipal urban zoning of Itajubá only delimits the urban expansion zones, and does not establish a hierarchy of which uses should be prioritized for urban land in these areas, which can potentiate the existence of conflicts in these urban lands. The identified areas presenting conflicts between the current use and the capability to use and occupy urban land are located in the northeast region where the implantation of a technology park takes place in an area that was classified as of environmental preservation, in the south and southwest portions that show the growing presence of residences in areas that could be destined for horticulture and/or the installation of leisure areas, such as parks, squares and forest gardens, highlighting the contrasts with the capability for use and occupation of urban land in these places, which can contribute to the increase of environmental degradation in the city in the future. Finally, it is concluded that the identification of the capability to use and occupy urban land in Itajubá can help urban planning, in the medium and long term, in a more adequate management of urban land which, if carried out in a sustainable way, can lead to the reduction of existing environmental degradation processes. Consequently, the reduction of expenses with corrective measures can be reversed in investments for the prevention of disasters due to extreme events and in the implantation of sustainable urban elements for the better quality of life of the population.
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7
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Leandro Fortunato de Faria
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ANALYSIS OF HEAT FLOWS IN A EXPLOSIVE EXTRATROPICAL CYCLONE: NUMERICAL SENSITIVITY EXPERIMENTS
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Advisor : MICHELLE SIMOES REBOITA
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COMMITTEE MEMBERS :
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LUIZ FELIPPE GOZZO
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MICHELLE SIMOES REBOITA
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VANESSA SILVEIRA BARRETO CARVALHO
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Data: Feb 24, 2023
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Show Abstract
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Extratropical cyclones are one of the atmospheric systems that most cause weather changes in the regions where they operate. In some situations, these systems have a deepening rate of ~24 hPa/24 h, which gives them the name of explosive cyclones. An important source of energy influencing the development of extratropical cyclones is surface sensible and latent heat fluxes (FCSL), especially over the oceans. Between late June and early July 2020, an explosive cyclone occurred off the southern coast of Brazil. As little is known about the physical development processes of explosive extratropical cyclones in the South Atlantic, the aim of this work is to verify whether turbulent heat flows from the ocean to the atmosphere contributed to deepen the system (pressure drop >= 24 hPa /24 h) and describe the drivers of cyclogenesis; to investigate the contribution of the sea-air nteraction, through numerical simulations with the Weather Research and Forecast Model (WRF), and to present the physical properties of the clouds associated with the squall line, which aused a lot of environmental and material damages and, even, the death of at least 12 people in the State of Santa Catarina (SC). Cyclogenesis started at 1200 UTC on June 30, 2020 at the southern border of Brazil and Uruguay, with a valley at mid-upper levels as forcing, which is a common parameter of cyclogenesis in the studied region. ERA5 reanalysis data were used to describe the configuration of the cyclone and associated systems. The description of the impacts in the State of SC was carried out through the review of news published by the media and data provided by the civil defense of the State. To verify the role of turbulent heat fluxes, a comparison between numerical experiments with turbulent fluxes of sensible and latent heat on and off in the WRF model was used. It was observed through the experiments that the sea-air interaction (turbulent heat flows) contributed to the deepening of the cyclone, leading it to an explosive state, because when the flows were turned off, the cyclone lost its status as a bomb. The cyclone directly influenced the formation of a cold front, which in turn led to the development of a prefrontal squall line, responsible for the adverse conditions in the state of Santa Catarina. While the satellite images did not show the squall line located ahead of the cold front in the cyclone wave due to its resolution, the radar reflectivity data clearly represented the propagation of the squall line over southern Brazil.
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8
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RAQUEL GONÇALVES PEREIRA
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IMPACT OF THE MICROPHYSICS OF STORMS ON THE PHYSICAL AND ELECTRICAL CHARACTERISTICS OF LIGHTNING
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Advisor : ENRIQUE VIEIRA MATTOS
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COMMITTEE MEMBERS :
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ENRIQUE VIEIRA MATTOS
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IZABELLY CARVALHO DA COSTA
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MICHELLE SIMOES REBOITA
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THIAGO SOUZA BISCARO
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Data: Mar 21, 2023
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Show Abstract
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Brazil has a higher annual (approximately 96 million) incidence of lightning, making the energy, telecommunication sectors and the Brazilian population highly susceptible to the impacts of this phenomenon. The study of lightning and the properties of storm clouds is strategic and of fundamental importance to support the development and improvement of immediate weather forecasting tools. However, there is still a gap in understanding how the microphysical properties of storm clouds impact lightning characteristics (such as type, polarity, size and duration). widely used over the last few decades. In this context, the general objective of the present study is to evaluate the impact of the microphysics of storms on the physical and electrical characteristics of lightning. The storms that are the focus of this research are those that occurred in the Metropolitan Region of São Paulo (RMSP) between November 2011 and March 2012, which were obtained during the CHUVA-Vale do Paraíba campaign. In the first stage of the work, Very Higher Frequency (VHF) sources from the São Paulo Lightning Mapper Array (SPLMA) network and return discharges from the Brazilian Atmospheric Discharge Detection Network (BrasilDAT) were used. With this database, the diurnal cycle of lightning properties was evaluated. The results showed that the highest amount of lightning occurs in the afternoon, approximately from 2 pm to 5 pm local time. Although the frequency of lightning strikes is higher in the afternoon, shorter lightning strikes predominate in this period. It was also observed that the period of the day with the highest occurrence of lightning does not coincide with the period of the day that presents the highest current peaks, indicating that storms caused by late afternoon thermodynamic instability involve less intense lightning in terms of electrical currents. In the second and third stages of the work, the relationship between the microphysical properties and the physical and electrical properties of lightning was examined. Both the duration and the length of the lightning flashes showed a positive relationship with the Eco Top variable of 45 dBZ, that is, the greater the duration/length are large hydrometeors found at greater heights. On the other hand, the area of the lightning showed a higher correlation with the microphysical variables crystal volume and graupel; while the amount of lightning sources was better correlated with the Waldvogel Height. In addition, intracloud and cloud-to-ground lightning are well correlated with Vertically Integrated Ice. In lifecycle terms, storms begin to flash in phase 1 (initiation) of their lifecycle, and increase until they reach their peak in the phase between initiation and maturation. A similar behavior occurred in relation to the number of sources, area and duration of lightning, which increase since the beginning of the storm and reach their maximum in phase 2. After the peak in phase 2 (intermediate time between the first radar echo and maturation), the variables mentioned above decreased during their life cycle until their dissipation. On the other hand, the peak current variable of the BrasilDAT network reached its peak in phase 3 (maturation). Also analyzed in greater detail was a case study of two storms, one with a few lightning strikes and the other with a lot of lightning. This project deepened the knowledge about the impact of microphysics on the properties of lightning and opened opportunities for the improvement of weather forecast models, and as a consequence, it may provide the minimization of damages linked to the negative effects of these storms.
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9
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MARIA PAULA RIBEIRO DE SOUZA
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CONSIDERATION OF RISKS IN THE ASSESSMENT OF THE ENVIRONMENTAL IMPACT OF MINING DAMS IN MINAS GERAIS
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Advisor : MARIA RITA RAIMUNDO E ALMEIDA
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COMMITTEE MEMBERS :
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ANNE CAROLINE MALVESTIO
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FERNANDA VERONEZ
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MARIA RITA RAIMUNDO E ALMEIDA
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RAFAEL SILVA CAPAZ
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Data: Apr 27, 2023
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Show Abstract
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The Environmental Licensing and the Environmental Impact Assessment are instruments of environmental policy that complement each other, and are useful for controlling the development of enterprises or activities that may cause an impact on the environment. Mining activities have an economic importance, but, on the other hand, they cause a significant impact on the environment, as well as on the surrounding community. The dams, which are used for the final disposal of tailings, are the focus of concern and risk, as they can cause irreversible damage if they break, taking as an example the cases that occurred in the state of Minas Gerais, in the years 2015 and 2019, with the ruptures of the dams in Mariana and Brumadinho, respectively. In order for these disasters to be avoided or to have less impact on society, it is important that during the Licensing and Environmental Impact Assessment decision process, the Risk Assessment (RA) is applied to the project to be installed. The associated risk must be an important factor for the analysis of the environmental viability of the activity. Thus, the objective of the present work is to analyze whether the normative changes brought in 2016 brought about changes in the incorporation of risk assessment in the EIA of mining dams in the state of Minas Gerais. For this purpose, Environmental Licensing processes were selected, supported by an Environmental Impact Study of mining dams. The identification of processes occurred through research on the websites of: Consultation of Environmental Licensing Process Decisions, Consultation and Request for Public Hearing and the Integrated Environmental Information System of the state of Minas Gerais. Thus, 25 Licensing processes were analyzed, between 2004 and 2022, which were available: the Environmental Impact Study and the Single or Technical Opinions, being analyzed as to how the risks were treated in the study and in the decision-making for the issuance of the prior license. An analysis of the perspective of before and after the implementation of State Law nº 21.972/2016 was also considered, which brings the requirement of Emergency Action Plans, Contingency and Risk Communication for the Environmental Licensing of undertakings or activities that may put in serious risk human lives or the environment. In the documents, a general search was carried out using keywords that referred to the theme of risk and the possible studies developed. Of the processes, 20 correspond to before the enactment of the law and five are post-enactment of the law. In the processes analyzed, two presented the Risk Analysis, four presented the PAE, three presented the Contingency Plan and no process presented the Risk Communication Plan. The results allow us to infer that the edition of State Law nº 21.972/2016 did not bring significant changes to the consideration of risk, since RA and plans were found in greater quantity for processes prior to the edition of the law. In general, it can be concluded that the risks of mining dams in Minas Gerais are accepted, without any assessment and regardless of their classification level, leaving only the option of being managed later.
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10
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ANDRÉ SHINDI HARTILEK OIZUMI
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The Environmental Impact Assessment as a tool to control climate change: the case of federal licensing of thermoelectric power plants in Brazil
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Advisor : MARIA RITA RAIMUNDO E ALMEIDA
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COMMITTEE MEMBERS :
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AMARILIS LUCIA CASTELI FIGUEIREDO GALLARDO
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FERNANDA VERONEZ
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MARIA RITA RAIMUNDO E ALMEIDA
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VANESSA SILVEIRA BARRETO CARVALHO
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Data: May 30, 2023
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Show Abstract
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Greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions are the main cause of the increase in global atmospheric temperature, one of the changes in climate. The Environmental Impact Assessment (EIA) and Environmental Licensing (EL) processes play important roles in controlling negative impacts on the environment during the decision-making process on the environmental viability of these projects. Brazilian legislation relies on Normative Instruction (IN) No. 12/2010 of the Brazilian Institute of the Environment and Renewable Natural Resources (Ibama), which determines that the federal EL of GHG emitting enterprises must contemplate mitigating measures for these emissions. Among the projects submitted to the EL process, the Thermoelectric Plants (UTEs) are projects that make up the Brazilian electric matrix and are capable of emitting GHGs in the power generation process and, therefore, must consider the measures to control GHG emissions. Therefore, the objective of this study is to evaluate how UTE projects, licensed with support from the EIA and Environmental Impact Statement (EIS) after 2010, consider the control of GHG emissions and their relationship with climate change. To this end, the analysis of the eight EIS presented for the EIA and LA process of UTEs, as of 2010, available in the Ibama database, was carried out. Initially, an adaptation to the scope of this work of the criteria established by Lee and Colley (1992) was used as a way to facilitate the identification of information on how EIS treat GHG emissions and climate change. With the information then identified, the EIS were classified into five groups, organized from best to worst case, and a subsequent analysis of what was found following four points of reflection, one regarding the methodology used in the quantification of GHG emissions of the project, one regarding the measures presented in order to control its GHG emissions, one on the climate impacts identified and the last on how the relationship between the GHG emissions of the enterprise and the impacts on the climate that were identified was established. The results show that there is a similarity with studies previously conducted in an international context, with a low incidence of the evaluation of GHG emissions from enterprises and their contribution to climate change. Only one of the eight EIS presented the description of a climate-related environmental impact due to GHG emissions and, in addition, two other cases did not provide information throughout their text on this topic. It was observed that half of the studies performed only the quantification of GHG emissions without relating them to climate change or even to the reduction targets assumed by Brazil in the Paris Agreement. The legislation that deliberates on such aspects was shown to lack clearer definitions and guidelines, and points of improvement to the EIA and LA process in Brazil were discussed. It was concluded, therefore, that there is a need for a more concise legislation that allows the environmental studies presented in the EIA and LA process to carry out the appropriate assessment regarding the GHG emissions of the enterprises, since these emissions must be evaluated for their cumulativity and effects on the climate
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11
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ADRIÉLE MARIA DE CÁSSIA CRISPIM
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ECONOMIC FEASIBILITY STUDY FOR THE GENERATION OF HYDROGEN FROM THE REFORMING OF BIOGAS FROM THE CO-DIGESTION OF SOLID URBAN WASTE AND SLUDGE FROM AN EFFLUENT TREATMENT PLANT FOR THE STATE OF MINAS GERAIS
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Advisor : REGINA MAMBELI BARROS
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COMMITTEE MEMBERS :
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ANTONIO CARLOS BARKETT BOTAN
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GERALDO LUCIO TIAGO FILHO
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IVAN FELIPE SILVA DOS SANTOS
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REGINA MAMBELI BARROS
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Data: Jun 20, 2023
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Show Abstract
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Obtaining H2 from processes with low carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions has been of great interest in order to reduce environmental impacts. The use of biogas to replace fossil sources such as natural gas has been a promising alternative for the clean production of hydrogen (H2), which can be used in the energy and industrial sectors. The aim of this study was to assess the economic viability of using the H2 generated by biogas for 28 landfill consortia in the state of Minas Gerais. Two processes were analyzed: steam methane reforming (VSR) and pyrolysis reforming through an economic analysis using the net present value (NPV), levelized cost of hydrogen (LCOH) and internal rate of return (IRR) methods. The biogas production potential of the ASs was estimated, as well as their respective hydrogen potential. Installation (CAPEX) and operation and maintenance (OPEX) costs were estimated for the biogas purification and H2 production processes. The selling price of H2 as a fuel was estimated for each consortium. The capacity to obtain ammonia from H2 was determined, as well as the levelized cost of ammonia (LCOA). The installed capacity of the consortia analyzed ranged from 12,738.08 to 1,716,651.77 kg H2/year. The LCOH ranged from 9.44 R$/kg to 1,255.83 R$/kg. Comparing the three scenarios, the RMV without CO2 capture is the one that obtained the best economic results, however, this scenario had the greatest potential for CO2 emissions. The novelty of this study involves using biogas to obtain H2, and comparing RMV with pyrolysis. CIDES was the consortium that obtained the best economic results. Processes for reforming CH4 into H2 with zero CO2 emissions were the ones that obtained the highest LCOH values, which makes it uncompetitive with fossil sources and could make the project unviable. There is a need for public policies to encourage the production and use of H2 from biogas.
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12
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MARIANA GOMES CARDOSO DE ABREU
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Steel industry decarbonization: Environmental performance and hydrogen use potential
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Advisor : RAFAEL SILVA CAPAZ
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COMMITTEE MEMBERS :
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JOAQUIM EUGENIO ABEL SEABRA
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MARIA LUIZA GRILLO RENO
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RAFAEL SILVA CAPAZ
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Data: Aug 29, 2023
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Show Abstract
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Due to the use of coal and the high energy demand, the steel sector represents 30% of the total emissions of greenhouse gases (GHG) in the industrial sector and around 10% of the total emissions from the energy sector. Therefore, the decarbonization of the steel sector involves changes in its processes and the energy transition of all sectors involved. The use of hydrogen (H2) in the context of steelmaking decarbonization implies its role as a reducer and as fuel. Aiming the potential for reducing GHG in steelmaking, considering the use of H2 as a reducer, conventional steel routes were compared under two aspects: environmental performance and current and future potential for the use of H2. First, the carbon footprint was estimated, in a life cycle analysis (LCA) using IPCC method, ECOINVENT data in comparison to GHG protocol, considering 3 scenarios in Brazilian conditions: steelmaking using coke (Scenario 1), steelmaking using charcoal (Scenario 2) and the direct reduction route with gray and green H2 (Scenario 3). Second, trends in the steel sector were discussed based on sectoral and corporate reports from the biggest players. When discussing the results, Scenario 2 resulted in 51% less GHG emissions than Scenario 1. Scenario 3, with gray H2, implied 65% less emissions than Scenario 1 and, with green H2, the result was 89% less. Benefits have been realized in using LCA to calculate carbon footprint. Furthermore, it was possible to identify advantages of the Brazilian context regarding the pioneering use of charcoal in steelmaking and the 80% share of renewable energy in the country's electricity mix. Evaluating the decarbonization plans, 54% cite H2 as a step to be taken to meet the targets, but just 31% mention the investment in direct reduction with H2 reducer. Despite the prospects for decarbonizing the steel industry pointing to disruptive technologies, it is unanimous that the first step should be the best available techniques for existing scenarios, the energy efficiency, the preference for renewable energies and incentives for research and technology.
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13
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CIRO DE SOUZA CARDOSO RIBEIRO
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ASSOCIATION BETWEEN WEATHER VARIATIONS AND PRESENTEEISM AMONG HIGHER EDUCATION TEACHERS
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Advisor : MARCELO DE PAULA CORREA
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COMMITTEE MEMBERS :
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RENATA DA SILVA CARDOSO ROCHA TAVARES
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DAVIDSON PASSOS MENDES
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JORGE MUNIZ JUNIOR
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LUIZ FELIPE SILVA
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MARCELO DE PAULA CORREA
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Data: Aug 29, 2023
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Show Abstract
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Work occupies a significant part of the population's daily life, therefore being an important factor in defining the quality of life and health of individuals. In parallel, every individual is subject to weather and climate variations, and this interaction also influences these issues and has important associations with collective health. The phenomenon known as presenteeism-illness (P-D), where a person goes to work while being or feeling sick, has been gaining attention in research since the 1990s. Studies on P-D aim to understand how going to work while being unwell can affect productivity in the company and even worsen the worker's clinical condition. Such outcomes, both in physiology and mental health, may be related to mood changes, affecting the disposition to perform daily tasks. These conditions can be more severe in individuals who are more sensitive to meteorological variations, known as weather-sensitive individuals, or among those who develop pathologies when there is an abrupt change in weather, known as meteoropathies (MTP). This research was conducted in an exploratory manner, with 520 university professors from 19 states and the federal district, with the objective of analyzing the association between meteorological variations and presenteeism in teaching activities. The relationship between the incidence of presenteeism, climate sensitivity, and the participants' sociodemographic profile was also examined, as well as the the association between the level of meteorosensitivity (MTS) and the occurrence of P-D. To achieve the objectives, a questionnaire was used to gather sociodemographic data, health and lifestyle information, and the Stanford Presentism Scale and Meteo-Questionnaire instruments. 460 participants (88.5%) reported having gone to work while ill in the past 12 months, and among them, 292 (56.1%) had a score below 18 on the SPS-6, which is considered low labor quality due to health issues. The overall questionnaire score was 13.3 (SD = 5.5), Avoided Distraction 6.7 (SD = 3.6), and Completed Work 9.3 (SD = 3.8). In general, the sample shows a decrease in performance in their work activities due to health problems. The most prevalent health problems related to presenteeism in the sample were: allergies, musculoskeletal pain, and excessive stress. There were 151 individuals (f = 29%) with high weather sensitivity, and 85 (f = 16.3%) showed indications of meteoropathies. For males, the average score for questions about weather sensitivity was 7 4.5 (SD = 3.3) and the average score for meteoropathies was 4.4 (SD = 3.5). For females, the average score for weather sensitivity was 6.2 (SD = 3.4), and the average score for indications of meteoropathies was 6.4 (SD = 3.1). The most common symptoms related to meteorological variations include: excessive appetite, fatigue, difficulty concentrating, anxiety, headaches, excessive drowsiness, irritability, nervousness, and general aches and pains. To analyze the association between meteorological variations and presenteeism, the technique of unconditional multiple logistic regression was employed. The first, more adjusted multiple model for the variable of P-D occurrence contains the following explanatory variables: Weather sensitivity (OR = 1.27), Absenteeism (OR = 3.59), physical activity (OR = 0.44) and being employed in a private institution (OR = 0.52). The second, more adjusted multiple model contains the explanatory variables: Weather sensitivity (OR = 1.25), Absenteeism (OR = 3.23), Gender (OR = 1.88), physical activity (OR = 0.44). The results indicate how sensitivity to meteorological variations can affect the population's health, showing that increased levels of MTS are associated with an increase in P-D.
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Thesis |
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1
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ALEX TAKEO YASUMURA LIMA SILVA
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Application of Multilayer Neural Networks Associated with Genetic Algorithms Applied to the Operation of Water Distribution Networks with a View to Hydroenergetic Efficiency in Smart Cities.
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Advisor : FERNANDO DAS GRACAS BRAGA DA SILVA
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COMMITTEE MEMBERS :
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ALEXANDRE KEPLER SOARES
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BENEDITO CLAUDIO DA SILVA
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FERNANDO DAS GRACAS BRAGA DA SILVA
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IVAN FELIPE SILVA DOS SANTOS
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JOSE ANTONIO TOSTA DOS REIS
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Data: Feb 15, 2023
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Show Abstract
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The scarcity of natural resources, especially water and energy, put the population at risk of water supply. Therefore, they become necessary procedures to guarantee the optimal operation of a water distribution network. The use of optimization techniques such as genetic algorithms guarantees the optimal operation of the network, however, just finding the optimal points is not enough, since demand oscillations affect fluctuations in those presented, also presenting a learning capacity that guarantees the adaptability of the network. distribution of water according to demand, meeting the concept of smart cities. Thus, to give the water distribution network this learning capability, Artificial Neural Networks (ANN) of the “perceptron” type of a hidden layer were used, one of which is simple to act only at a demand point, predicting the values of the operational parameters (RNF, valves and pumps), as a proof of concept and then a more advanced ANN was developed, with seven hidden classes, in order to predict the operational specifications for the last 72 hours. The Water Distribution Networks used were two theoretical networks with 13 nodes, 2 Fixed Level Reservoirs (RNF), 2 pumps and 3 valves, varying only the mesh position. For both distribution networks, the predictions reached a good result in most points based on Norma NBR 12218/2017. As a conclusion, Artificial Neural Networks are proven to have a good capacity to predict operation when applied to water distribution networks due to their inherent complexity, having the potential for better results with future adjustments.
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2
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ALEX TAKEO YASUMURA LIMA SILVA
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Application of Multilayer Neural Networks Associated with Genetic Algorithms Applied to the Operation of Water Distribution Networks with a View to Hydroenergetic Efficiency in Smart Cities.
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Advisor : FERNANDO DAS GRACAS BRAGA DA SILVA
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COMMITTEE MEMBERS :
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ALEXANDRE KEPLER SOARES
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BENEDITO CLAUDIO DA SILVA
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FERNANDO DAS GRACAS BRAGA DA SILVA
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IVAN FELIPE SILVA DOS SANTOS
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JOSE ANTONIO TOSTA DOS REIS
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Data: Feb 15, 2023
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Show Abstract
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The scarcity of natural resources, especially water and energy, put the population at risk of water supply. Therefore, they become necessary procedures to guarantee the optimal operation of a water distribution network. The use of optimization techniques such as genetic algorithms guarantees the optimal operation of the network, however, just finding the optimal points is not enough, since demand oscillations affect fluctuations in those presented, also presenting a learning capacity that guarantees the adaptability of the network. distribution of water according to demand, meeting the concept of smart cities. Thus, to give the water distribution network this learning capability, Artificial Neural Networks (ANN) of the “perceptron” type of a hidden layer were used, one of which is simple to act only at a demand point, predicting the values of the operational parameters (RNF, valves and pumps), as a proof of concept and then a more advanced ANN was developed, with seven hidden classes, in order to predict the operational specifications for the last 72 hours. The Water Distribution Networks used were two theoretical networks with 13 nodes, 2 Fixed Level Reservoirs (RNF), 2 pumps and 3 valves, varying only the mesh position. For both distribution networks, the predictions reached a good result in most points based on Norma NBR 12218/2017. As a conclusion, Artificial Neural Networks are proven to have a good capacity to predict operation when applied to water distribution networks due to their inherent complexity, having the potential for better results with future adjustments.
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3
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FLAVIO FERREIRA FREITAS
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Analysis of policies for distributed generation of electricity from biogas from Urban Solid Waste in Brazil.
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Advisor : GERALDO LUCIO TIAGO FILHO
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COMMITTEE MEMBERS :
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GERALDO LUCIO TIAGO FILHO
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IVAN FELIPE SILVA DOS SANTOS
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MARIA CLAUDIA COSTA DE OLIVEIRA BOTAN
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REGINA MAMBELI BARROS
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RUBENILDO VIEIRA ANDRADE
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VALDIR SCHALCH
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Data: Feb 28, 2023
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Show Abstract
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Distributed Generation (GD) in Brazil was a milestone for the Brazilian electricity matrix, as it allowed the generation of electricity to the National Interconnected System (SIN) from small renewable energy sources or qualified cogeneration, such as: hydroelectric power plants (CGH ), photovoltaic solar (UFV), wind power (EOL) and thermal power plants (UTEs). Within the UTEs, include urban solid waste plants, the focus of the research. The main objective of this thesis is to analyze the economically viable energy potential of biogas from Urban Solid Waste (MSW), using the rules and regulations of Distributed Generation (DG) as a parameter. In addition, alternatives and strategies are sought that make this generation feasible for small and medium-sized Brazilian municipalities with the adoption of national and international policies. Initially, electricity generation from MSW was taken as a source of study from the perspective of the New Distributed Generation Framework, the Legal Framework for Distributed Microgeneration and Minigeneration and the Electricity Compensation System (SCEE), supported by the Law Ordinary No. 14,300/2022. Subsequently, it was found that the minimum viable population, considering the New Landmark of the DG, was 80,000 inhabitants. Next, it was evaluated how policies such as ICMS Exemption, interest rate reduction and the creation of tradable green certificates can directly impact the viability of projects. Of all the proposed scenarios, the creation of green certificates (a scenario called the Belgium Case) was the one that brought the most advantages from an economic point of view. Then, the current market for electricity generation from MSW for municipalities with populations above 80,000 inhabitants was studied. In this study, it was found that the average viable potential is approximately 300 MW of installed power and 2 TWh of electricity produced, which represents 2% of the distributed generation potential currently installed in the country (15,000 MW). Although it seems small, this use is of vital importance for the country, as it reduces an environmental liability that is the illegal and inappropriate disposal of waste in dumps and controlled landfills, and sustainably produces electricity generation from this residue. Finally, it was noticed that, despite the exponential growth of DG in Brazil, leveraged by photovoltaics, there is still a lack of public policies and incentives for electricity generation from MSW biogas.
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4
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ANA LETÍCIA CAMPOS YAMAMOTO
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Global projections of UV radiation in the 21st century: aerosols and clouds effects
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Advisor : MARCELO DE PAULA CORREA
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COMMITTEE MEMBERS :
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EMICO OKUNO
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ARTEMIO PLANA FATTORI
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ENRIQUE VIEIRA MATTOS
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MARCELO DE PAULA CORREA
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MARCIA AKEMI YAMASOE
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ROGER RODRIGUES TORRES
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SAMIA REGINA GARCIA CALHEIROS
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Data: Mar 31, 2023
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Show Abstract
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Ozone, aerosols, and clouds influence the ultraviolet radiation (UVR) that reaches the earth’s surface. This study aims to evaluate UVR throughout the 21st century considering the total ozone content (TOC), the total cloud cover (TCC), and the aerosol optical depth at 550 nm (AOD550). For that, I first evaluated current climate (1980 - 2014) simulations provided by six Earth System Models (ESMs) from the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 (CMIP6) by contrasting them with the fifth generation of European Reanalysis (ERA5) and the Modern-Era Retrospective analysis for Research and Applications, Version 2 (MERRA-2). For future projections, the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSPs; SSP1-2.6, SSP2-4.5, SSP3-7.0, and SSP5-8.5) and four time-slices throughout the century (2021 - 2040, 2041 - 2060, 2061 - 2080 and 2081 - 2100) were considered. I used the UVBoost estimator to calculate UV irradiance. Then, the Ultraviolet Index (UVI) at solar noon, daily doses, and exposure times for erythema (Dery and tery) and vitamin D synthesis (DvitD and tvitD) for phototype III were computed. The cloud attenuation factor (f_C) was used to analyze the cloud cover impact on UVR projections. As expected, the multi-model mean ensemble from six ESMs showed smaller biases and root-mean-square errors (RMSE) which indicated that the simulations are close to the reanalysis data. For TOC, pronounced increases were projected at mid and high latitudes, towards the end of the century, and under higher radiative forcing scenarios (SSP3-7.0 and SSP5-8.5). Over Antarctica, increases of up to 30.0% projected for 2081 - 2100 indicate ozone recovery. On the other hand, greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions impact the signal of change in the tropical region, with decreases (up to 4.0%) under SSP1-2.6 and increases (up to 7.0%) under SSP3-7.0. Regarding TCC, increases over the Eastern Tropical Pacific Ocean in all SSPs, with maximum values ~27.0% (in the long-term; 2081 - 2100), are related to the Intertropical Convergence Zone (ITCZ). By contrast, the TCC decline in North Africa (up to 21.0%) and South America (up to 16.0%) are consistent with the intensification of subtropical anticyclones. For AOD550, increases of up to 28.0% (SSP3-7.0) and 99.0% (SSP5-8.5) were projected in India, Central, and East Africa at the end of the century (2081 - 2100). On the other hand, decreases in North America, Europe, and China over the century may be due to the air quality policies and pollutant emissions control, mainly under SSP1-2.6. In December, UVI, Dery, and DvitD projected changes were pronounced at mid and high latitudes in the Southern Hemisphere (SH), towards the end of the century and under higher radiative forcing scenarios (SSP3-7.0 and SSP5-8.5). In South America, Australia, and southern Africa, 10 to 20 minutes of exposure at solar noon can induce erythema in phototype III. In contrast, there is no UVR sufficient for vitamin D synthesis at solar noon throughout the century in the United States, Canada, Russia, and Europe. In June, despite the discrepancy in the sign of the projected change between the SSPs, the UVI and Dery were high (UVI ≥ 11; Dery ~ 6.0 kJ m-2) in areas with high population density such as China, India, the Middle East, and the United States. On the other hand, there is no vitamin D synthesis over the century for the scenarios in southern Argentina, southern Chile, and Antarctica. Cloud cover impacts UVI and DvitD more strongly. However, spatial patterns throughout the century have not changed. TCC attenuation can reduce up to 3.5 UVI under scenarios SSP1-2.6 and SSP2-4.5 in South America and part of Central America but still indicate high levels (UVI between 8 and 10). Furthermore, in December and under SSP1-2.6, there were projected attenuations between 1.5 and 1.8 kJ m-2 for Dery and between 2.5 and 3.0 kJ m-2 for DvitD. The results showed that climate change can significantly impact UVR throughout the 21st century and affect human health.
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5
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ANA FLAVIA MARTINS MONTEIRO
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Climate projections of the main variables that influence evapotranspiration in South America: a multi-model assessment
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Advisor : FABRINA BOLZAN MARTINS
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COMMITTEE MEMBERS :
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FABRINA BOLZAN MARTINS
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GUSTAVO BASTOS LYRA
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MARCEL CARVALHO ABREU
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MARCELO DE PAULA CORREA
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ROGER RODRIGUES TORRES
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SAMIA REGINA GARCIA CALHEIROS
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Data: Jun 16, 2023
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Show Abstract
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Climate change is the greatest challenge due to threats in the natural and social systems. For adaptation actions planning to be effective, it is necessary to analyze the impacts on climate variables, especially in potentially vulnerable regions, such as South America. Additionally, as a new generation of general circulation models (GCMs) becomes available, it is mandatory to reevaluate the performance and reliability of this new set in representing the behavior of the climate system. Therefore, the present study analyzed and compared simulations and projections of climate change over South America using ten GCMs from Coupled Model Intercomparison Project, using fifth and sixth phases (CMIP5 and CMIP6). The projections (PF; 2081-2100) were compared to the present period (PP; 1986-2005), for four radiative forcing scenarios: RCP4.5 and RCP8.5 (Representative Concentration Pathways) and SSP2-4.5 and SSP5-8.5 (Shared Socioeconomic Pathways). Furthermore, this study analyzed space-time trends and the contribution rate of climate variables that influence evapotranspiration in South America, considering the PP and the SSP5-8.5 future scenario of CMIP6. For this, a set of daily data of mean air temperature at 2 m above the surface (Tmean), relative air humidity (RH), global solar radiation (Rs), soil moisture at 10 cm from the surface (SM) and precipitation (P) was used of ten GCMs from both sets of CMIP. To obtain the daily evapotranspiration (ET) the Turc method was used. In addition, the aforementioned variables were validated with data from the Climate Prediction Center (CPC) and ERA5 reanalysis. The CMIP6 GCMs exhibited better performance compared to the CMIP5 GCMs in representing the analyzed climate variables over South America, especially for Tmean and ET. The GCMs projected a positive trend in ET, which was accompanied by an integrated effect of a positive trend in Tmean and Rs, and a negative trend in RH, SM and P, which indicated drier climate conditions for the end of the 21st century mainly in the Amazon region, north of Bolivia and southern Peru. Despite the spatial distribution of the contribution rate having differences in regional patterns, the dominant climate variable that contributed to the positive trend of ET was Tmean, mainly for the future period, indicating that this contribution was not weakened by the contribution of other climate variables. In general, these results help in evaluating the variables that influence the change in ET in South America.
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6
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JOHNSON HERLICH ROSLEE MENSAH
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Study of the Insertion of Renewable Sources in the Energy Transition of the Republic of Benin with a view to its Sustainable Development
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Advisor : GERALDO LUCIO TIAGO FILHO
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COMMITTEE MEMBERS :
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BANDIRI SABI YARI MÖISE
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GERALDO LUCIO TIAGO FILHO
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IVAN FELIPE SILVA DOS SANTOS
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OSVALDO RONALD SAAVEDRA MENDEZ
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REGINA MAMBELI BARROS
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Data: Dec 20, 2023
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Show Abstract
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Energy generation is an important factor in economic development, combating poverty and ensuring a good quality of life for the population of a nation, which is a major challenge for less developed countries such as the Republic of Benin, country located in West Africa. Thus, the installation of hydroelectric plants, photovoltaic solar plants and biomass plants could help mitigate the energy crises that the country faces and reduce its dependence on energy imports. In this context, the objective of this work is to propose and evaluate different energy planning scenarios in Benin, with a view to inserting renewable energy sources (RES), improving the current living conditions of the population, and minimizing energy imports. To achieve this objective, data analysis and an assessment of the energy potential of each renewable source (solar, wind, biomass and hydroelectric) available were carried out. Finally, three different scenarios were created (reference, moderate and optimistic) with the objective of reducing the energy deficit in the long-term using the LEAP (Low Emissions Analysis Platform) program for the period from 2020 to 2050. The results of this study showed that for the “REF” reference scenario, final energy demand is expected to grow by around 1.5% until 2050. Electricity production should, for the most part, be carried out by thermal energy sources and CO2 emissions should increase by 0.5%. to 1.1 million metric tons of CO2eq in the residential sector. Regarding the optimistic “OPT” scenario, final energy demand will increase by around 3.8% compared to the base year value (2020). The share of RES is expected to increase to around 78% of the total installed generation capacity in 2050 and will reduce electricity imports to zero, which were 13.2 PJ and 7.1 PJ, respectively, in the REF and MOD scenarios, representing 81.5% and 20.5% of national electricity demand. These results allowed discussions on alternatives for Benin's energy sectors and encourage the application of energy efficiency measures in each sector of activity to reduce energy consumption in addition to mitigating the effects of GHG emissions. In short, effective energy policy measures are needed to support a sustainable energy transition in Benin.
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